Steve Palmer’s Tour Championship Predictions & Free Golf Betting Tips | Sports News
Golf tips, best bets and player analysis for the Tour Championship at East Lake Golf Club on the PGA Tour.
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Xander Schauthe winner of the FedEx Cup
5pts each way 8-1 bet fred
FedEx Cup winner Rory McIlroy
3pts each way 12-1 bet365
Billy Horschel wins the FedEx Cup
0.5 pt each way 200-1 Hills
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Punters rating what is now a 29 runner (Will Zalatoris retired with a back injury on Tuesday afternoon) The Tour Championship champ must decide whether to place bets in the market that includes handicaps from the FedEx Cup (Tour Championship/FedEx Cup Winner) or in the separate Tour Championship 72-Hole Tournament winner bet that ignores the staggered start.
The preference is to focus entirely on the FedEx Cup, which the players will do. Competitors will have no idea where they stand in the 72-hole score, so it’s hard to bet with confidence on that.
Steve Palmer’s best advice
Xander Schauele 8-1
The last two Tour championships have been won by the player who started the event at the top of the standings – Dustin Johnson turned his two-stroke advantage into a three-stroke victory in 2020, before Patrick Cantlay edged out Jon Rahm d once 12 months ago.
Scottie Scheffler will be encouraged by East Lake’s recent history, but it’s a new challenge for the FedEx Cup leader, and a 5-2 best price is unappealing. Not only has he never been in that particular pole position before, but he doesn’t have much experience at East Lake compared to his main rivals.
Scheffler has only competed in the Tour Championship twice before. He was the second top scorer on his 2020 debut, but was 17th best last year. The Masters champion has looked less safe on the greens in recent months – shaky on short putts – so he can be left alone at meager odds for this unusual top-tier assignment.
Patrick Cantlay was awful in the first two-ball final round at East Lake in 2019. Being top of the starting grid comes with added pressure. That year, Cantlay and top seed Justin Thomas played defensively and poorly and were quickly swallowed up by the chasing pack.
Cantlay clearly rose to the challenge last year, but his East Lake record in general makes a 4-1 against his name an unattractive option this time around. He was 20th and 21st under the old format, then only two players scored worse than him in the inaugural handicap event. Even in triumph last year, three players outclassed him.
Xander Schauffele is by far the most attractive bet, with tempting terms of a fifth of the first five places available. The Californian has impeccable credentials at East Lake and arrives this time with confidence coursing through his veins.
Schauffele won the Tour Championship on his debut in 2017, then finished seventh in 2018. He was the second-highest 72-hole scorer in the 2019 edition and the highest 72-hole scorer in the 2020 event by a margin of three knocks. Last year he was the third leading 72-hole scorer, so in the past three years only three players in total have managed to beat Schauffele on 72 holes at East Lake.
This week, from a six under par start, this cool dude can fight his way past Cantlay and Scheffler. Schauele has been in superb form for four months. He won the Zurich Classic alongside Cantlay in April and has been back to his best ever since, winning the Travelers Championship in June and then the JP McManus Pro-Am and Scottish Open. Last week, Schauffele finished third in the BMW Championship, providing a great opportunity for a first FedEx Cup success.
Next best bet
Rory McIlroy 12-1
Another player with an excellent record from East Lake can make a move just off the pace. Rory McIlroy won the Tour Championship and the FedEx Cup in 2016, then in 2019 he was the lowest scorer in 72 holes – a brilliant 13-under effort that saw him destroy his starting five-stroke deficit and win the FedEx Cup by a four stroke margin.
This time, McIlroy arrived at East Lake in rock-solid form, with seven top-eight finishes in his last ten tournaments. The talented Northern Irishman has placed in the top eight at every Major this year, in addition to winning the Canadian Open in June. From four under par, McIlroy can quickly make a name for himself in the thick of things.
Billy Horschel 200-1
With five spots to fill, Billy Horschel deserves consideration at a huge price, even though he has a nine-stroke deficit to make up. Horschel is another proven East Lake performer and his career highlight came with glory at the 2014 FedEx Cup in East Lake.
In 2018 he was a runner-up to Tiger Woods and last year Horschel underscored his fondness for that setup by finishing the week as the seventh-leading 72-hole scorer. The arrogant Floridian is going to need magnificent golf to challenge from one under par, but his commemorative effort in June is very encouraging. On a tough course, Horschel scored a four-stroke triumph, and this solid all-rounder can be a factor if he brings the same level to East Lake.
Players to note
Fifth place in the previous two FedEx Cup playoffs, along with a brilliant back-and-forth at the BMW’s last hole to qualify for the Tour championship, makes this former East Lake champion a likely charger for the normal level.
The Spaniard isn’t used to being this far down the grid but could still make an impression from three under par. His drive is a key asset at East Lake and he was a snap in the playoffs.
A closing 65 in the BMW, with an ace, provided further encouragement for the Norwegian, who may have turned a corner since competing in the Open. It could be quick from two pennies.
East Lake Course Guide
Course East Lake Golf Club, Atlanta, Georgia
Prize money $75 million ($18 million to winner)
Length 7,346 yards
By 70 – two par fives; 12-by-four; four par three
Highest ranked players on the pitch (world ranking in brackets) Scottie Scheffler (1), Cameron Smith (2), Patrick Cantlay (3), Rory McIlroy (4), Xander Schauffele (5)
Course files – 72 holes 257 Tiger Woods (2007) 18 holes 60 Zach Johnson (2007)
Participating course winners Adam Scott, Billy Horschel, Jordan Spieth, Rory McIlroy (twice), Xander Schauffele, Patrick Cantlay
When to bet Around 4:40 p.m. on Thursday
When to watch Live on Sky Sports Golf from 5.30pm on Thursdays
Time difference Georgia is five hours behind the UK and Ireland
Last week – BMW Championship 1 P Cantlay (16-1), 2 S Stallings (125-1), T3 S Scheffler (16-1), X Schauffele (20-1), T5 KH Lee (150-1), C Conners (55-1 ), One Scott (60-1)
Format A handicap system has been in effect for the Tour Championship since 2019, with the FedEx Cup leader starting at ten under par, second in the standings at eight under par, third at seven under, fourth at six under, the fifth to five cents. , sixth to tenth at under four, 11th to 15th at three under, 16th to 20th at two under, 21st to 25th at one under and 26th to 30th at normal level
Type of course Park
Course overview East Lake is the closing curtain on the PGA Tour season, with the year’s most successful performers wrapping up their campaign in the United States in the Tour Championship. East Lake hosted this event in 1998, 2000, 2002 and from 2004 onwards. The famous course was designed by Tom Bendelow and Donald Ross, but Rees Jones took charge of a redesign in 1994 and late 2007 (it changed all bentgrass greens in Bermuda). It’s extremely long for a par-70 and a SubAir drainage system means firm, fast greens are almost certain
Last year story Patrick Cantlay edged out Jon Rahm by one shot as the Californian managed to convert his ten-under start into a win. Rahm and Kevin Na tied for lowest 72-hole score
Weather forecast Warm, cloudy and calm for the most part, with a threat of thunderstorms for the first two days
Type of player adapted to the challenge The fairways are notoriously hard to hit at East Lake, and Bermuda’s rough is thick, so precise drivers often thrive. There are no easy birdies, so players who like to make a lot of pars can thrive
key attribute Precision
Spotlight overview The last four FedEx Cup champions have finished sixth or better in any of the previous playoff events
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FIRST PUBLICATION AT 11:20 AM, AUGUST 23, 2022