Steve Palmer’s Italian Open Predictions, Best Bets, Free Golf Tips | Sports News

Golf tips, best bets and player analysis for the Italian Open at Marco Simone on the DP World Tour.

where to watch

Live on Sky Sports Main Event and Golf from 7.30am Thursday

Best bets

Rasmus Hojgaard
2pts each way 50-1 bet365
Guido Migliozzi
1.5pts each way 80-1 bet365
Min Woo Lee
1.5pts each way 40-1 Betfair, Power
Tom Lewis
0.5 pt each way 175-1 bet365

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Three players who are almost certain to make Europe’s 2023 Ryder Cup squad show up at the Marco Simone this week, training on the course where they will likely face the United States next year, and exemplify it trio dominates the Italian Open market.

Rory McIlroy suffered a near miss at Wentworth on Sunday, beaten by friend Shane Lowry in the BMW PGA Championship, and the FedEx Cup champion is a short-term favorite in Rome. McIlroy is playing superbly, but it’s his debut on the course and the odds seem slim.

Matt Fitzpatrick was two over par for his last nine holes at the BMW PGA – an easy stretch – and the US Open champion missed the cut at Marco Simone last year.

Viktor Hovland, as McIlroy sees the course for the first time this week, and the Norwegian’s confidence took a hit on Sunday with a poor showing in the final round at Wentworth. Hovland didn’t have much time to fix the dismal ride that wrecked his BMW PGA challenge.

Steve Palmer’s best advice

Rasmus Hojgaard 50-1

Last year’s Italian Open was all about the Hojgaard brothers – and this pair of Danish dudes might be about to make headlines again at the Marco Simone.

Nicolai Hojgaard won the title 12 months ago – just a week after Rasmus Hojgaard won the European Masters in Crans-sur-Sierre. The history-making Hojgaards had won back-to-back DP World Tour victories – and Rasmus seems well equipped to add a new twist to this incredible story.

Rasmus, who is only 21, already has three DP World Tour wins to his name, and recent outings have hinted a fourth win is near. He appears on the injury issues that hampered his progress at the start of this year and recent efforts have been encouraging.

Tenth place in the high profile company of the Scottish Open in July was a major confidence boost. He opened with a 63 en route to 22nd in Made In HimmerLand the week before last, then followed it up with three laps in the 60s for 18th at Wentworth.

Last year, Rasmus arrived at the Marco Simone with an understandable hangover from Crans and got off to a slow start. This sleek operator got sharper every day, finishing 18th, and looks like he has every chance of making a bold play for his twin’s title on Sunday.

Next best bet

Guido Migliozzi 80-1

The juicy prize money against the name of local hero Guido Migliozzi is surprising. The 25-year-old has star quality, underlined by his fourth-place finish on his US Open debut last year, and he finished 14th in the same tournament in June.

Migliozzi has started slowly this season, experimenting with wearing glasses on the course, but recent efforts have been eye-catching. Three rounds of 68 for 13th place at Wentworth last week confirmed his return to form.

Migliozzi was a prolific winner of events in Italy as a junior and amateur. As a teenager, he finished seventh in the 2015 Abruzzo Open on his Alps circuit debut, then won that tournament in 2017. Gutsy Guido triumphed twice in Italy on the Alps circuit in 2018 and is expected to give his fans something to celebrate this week.

Other selections

Min Woo Lee 40-1

Tom Lewis 175-1

Min Woo Lee looks to be a major champion in the making and the 24-year-old Australian could score a DP World Tour hat trick on Sunday. His last win was a Rolex Series event and Lee showed he was a man for the big occasion.

Lee’s major performances this year have been impressive – 14th in his Masters debut in April, 27th in his US Open debut in June, then 21st in his second Open appearance in July. Last Saturday he showed his talent again, carding an incredible 62 at Wentworth, following the 63 he conjured up on the opening day of the Korn Ferry Tour Finals last month.

Lee finished 12th at the Italian Open last year and looks likely to make an impact again at Marco Simone this week.

Complete a four-pronged attack with Tom Lewis, who is trying to get his career back on track, after failing in the United States. The Englishman is eager to finish the season in the top 120 of the DP World Tour rankings to regain full playing rights. From 169th in the rankings, he can make breakthroughs at the Italian Open.

Lewis, a two-time Portugal Masters champion and WGC 2020 runner-up in Memphis, finished 13th in the Czech Masters last month and 12th in Made In HimmerLand last time out. This class act is a DP World Tour dangerman.

Players to Note

Antoine Rozner
The Frenchman hit solid ball-striking form and could threaten a third DP World Tour title if he can get his putter working.

Adrian Meronk
The Irish Open champion finished second to Marco Simone last year and is 160 places better in the world rankings for his return.

Marco Simone course guide

Course Marco Simone Golf Club, Guidonia, Rome, Italy
Prize money €3 million (€510,000 to the winner)
Length 7,268 yards
By 71 – three par fives; 11 par-fours; four par three
Field 156 The cup Top 65 and ties advance to Round 3
Highest ranked players on the pitch (world ranking in brackets) Rory McIlroy (2), Viktor Hovland (10), Matt Fitzpatrick (11), Tyrrell Hatton (28), Lucas Herbert (53)
Course files – 72 holes 271 Nicolai Hojgaard 18 holes 64 Min Woo Lee, Henrik Stenson

Participating course winners Nicolas Hojgaard

When to bet Before 6:10 a.m. on Thursday

When to watch Live on Sky Sports Main Event and Golf from 7.30am on Thursday

Time difference Italy one hour ahead of UK and Ireland

Last Week – BMW PGA Championship 1S Lowry (16-1), T2 J Rahm (8-1), R McIlroy (6-1), 4 T Gooch (33-1), T5 T Detry (110-1), V Hovland (18-1 ), S Kjeldsen (500-1), P Reed (45-1)

Type of course Park

Course overview Marco Simone GC last year took over from Chervo GC to host the Italian Open for the first time since 1994. Marco Simone, designed by Jim Fazio and David Mezzacane and opened in 1991, will host the Ryder Cup next year . It is a park, lined with trees and hilly, with many water hazards, many doglegs and sloping greens heavily guarded by bunkers. The 18th hole – a monster 626 yards – is no mere birdie chance. The par-fours vary considerably in distance – there are four par-fours under 400 meters, but the eighth of 503 meters and the 14th of 495 meters are much more difficult

Last year story Nicolai Hojgaard held off Adrian Meronk and Tommy Fleetwood to make it a back-to-back DP World Tour success for the Hojgaards after his brother Rasmus won the European Masters the previous week.

Weather forecast Warm and sunny for the most part, but there is a threat of thunderstorms for Thursday and Friday afternoons. Moderate breezes from the first three days are expected to ease on Sunday

Type of player adapted to the challenge Trees, water, doglegs and greens surrounded by bunkers demand accurate ball striking at the Marco Simone, so quality ball hitters should thrive

key attribute Precision

Spotlight overview Three of the last four Italian Open winners have finished 60th or lower in their previous event



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Ruth J. Leeds