Steve Palmer’s Hero Open Predictions & Free Golf Betting Tips | Sports News
Golf tips, best bets and player analysis for the Hero Open at Fairmont St Andrews on the DP World Tour.
where to watch
Live on Sky Sports Golf & Main Event from noon on Thursday
2.5pts each way 30-1 bet365
2pts each way 40-1 Coral, Ladbrokes
1.5pts each way 66-1 bet365
1.5pts each way 66-1 Coral, Ladbrokes
1pt each way 125-1 Betfair, Power
1pt each way 125-1 bet365
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Ryan Fox dominates betting for the Hero Open and many bettors will keep it simple by backing the Kiwi powerhouse to triumph at the Fairmont St Andrews.
Fox was in superb form from February, winning the Ras al Khaimah Classic and finishing third on three occasions – at the Soudal Open, Dutch Open and Irish Open. He has a solid record in the UK and Ireland events at the links pitch.
The negatives, however, are a slight dip in form – 47th at the Scottish Open followed by a missed cut at the Open – and the fact that he finished 34th in his only previous Fairmont round.
Steve Palmer’s best advice
Hurly Long 30-1
Leaving Fox alone at low odds and focusing on better value alternatives is the preferred punt tactic – and improving Germany’s Hurly Long is the most appealing. The 27-year-old has taken advantage of recent events that have been co-sanctioned with the PGA Tour, finishing fourth in the Barbasol Championship and seventh in the Barracuda.
Those successful assignments in the United States must have further boosted the confidence of a man who posted six top ten finishes this year. He won the Challenge Tour in 2020 and looks set for a main tour breakthrough.
Long played four rounds at the Fairmont in 2020, finishing 51st in the Scottish Championship, and he has since made leaps and bounds. He is the Pebble Beach course record holder and can thrive at another coastal track this week.
Next best bet
Marcus Helligkilde 40-1
Eighth place at Barbasol and 13th at Barracuda mean Marcus Helligkilde has also received an injection of confidence from the co-sanctioned events. The Dane won the Challenge Tour three times last year and is playing well enough to shake off his first DP World Tour tag at the age of 25.
Brandon Stone 66-1
Scott Jamieson 66-1
Lucas Bjerregaard 125-1
Daniel Hillier 125-1
Brandon Stone is a classy actor who recently hinted his acting is coming back. Fifth place in the European Open was followed by 15th place in the BMW International. The South African missed the cup by a shot at the Scottish Open last time out, but won this tournament in 2018 – on low-scoring ties where he closed with a 60 – and Fairmont looks ideal . He finished 16th on his only previous visit.
Richie Ramsay probably inspired the Scots on Sunday with his success at the Cazoo Classic. Scott Jamieson is a year younger than Ramsay – they grew up playing amateur golf together before becoming mainstays on the European Tour. Jamieson won a weather-shortened Nelson Mandela Championship in 2012 – one of only ten top three finishes he had on the DP World Tour. One of them came to this week’s Scottish Open and Assignment Suits. He was in terrible shape before missing the cut at Fairmont by a shot last year, but he’s in much better shape this time around.
Lucas Bjerregaard struggled last year until finishing tenth at Fairmont, where he shot a second-round 62 and then kept his Tour card. The Dane hopes the Hero Open will spark a similar revival again. The 2018 Dunhill Links champion loves this kind of test and is too good to ignore. He finished fourth in the 2019 WGC-Match Play, where he defeated Tiger Woods.
Daniel Hillier, who finished 23rd in last year’s Hero Open, is also worth putting to the test. The two-time New Zealand amateur champion is a 24-year-old on the rise with a beautiful swing and effortless power. He won the Challenge Tour last year and has four top ten finishes on that circuit this season.
Players to note
The Cazoo Classic champion explained his love of links golf after his victory and could ride the crest of a wave in his native country.
The defending champion played the Cazoo Classic on Sunday and is expected to put up a strong defense of the title.
The Irishman won the final Open qualifying event at Fairmont this year and impressed at the start of the St Andrews Major itself. Tempting at huge prices.
The 2020 Scottish Championship winner at the Fairmont is expected to be operational. He played in the first two LIV Golf events, but did not attend Bedminster’s party this week.
Fairmont St Andrews Class Guide
Course Torrance Course, Fairmont St Andrews, St Andrews, Fife, Scotland
Prize money €1.75 million (€297,500 to the winner)
Length 7,230 yards
By 72 – four par five, ten par four, four par three
Field 150 The cup Top 65 and ties advance to Round 3
Highest ranked players on the pitch (world ranking in brackets) Ryan Fox (48), Oliver Bekker (99), Takumi Kanaya (109), Marcus Helligkilde (138), Richie Ramsay (175)
Course files – 72 holes 264 Grant Forest (2021) 18 holes 62 Adrian Otaegui (Scottish Championship 2020), Lucas Bjerregaard (2021), Grant Forrest (2021)
Participating course winners Adrian Otaegui, Grant Forrest
When to bet Around 7 a.m. on Thursday
When to watch Live on Sky Sports Main Event and Golf from 12pm on Thursday
Last week – Cazoo Classic 1 R Ramsay (22-1), 2 P Waring (80-1), T3 M Kinhult (66-1), R Petersson (500-1), D Huizing (150-1), G Forrest (80-1) , J Warrior (80-1), T8 A Sullivan (100-1), A Hidalgo (125-1), J Dantorp (70-1)
Type of course Connections
Course overview The European Tour has introduced new tournaments in 2020 to fill the void left by the coronavirus suspension – including a one-off Scottish Championship at Fairmont St Andrews. The Scottish Championship is gone, but the Fairmont St Andrews has remained a Tour venue, taking over from the Forest of Arden as host of the Hero Open last year. The Torrance course at the Fairmont St Andrews has hosted an open final qualifier in 2010, 2019 and this year. The Torrance course, atop a cliff overlooking the North Sea, was designed by Denis Griffiths with input from Torrance and the late Gene Sarazen. Like the Renaissance Club, which hosted the Scottish Open earlier this month, the Torrance course can be described as a “semi-links”, with several inside holes. The fairways are generous and avoiding pot bunkers is crucial. The four par-fives – third, sixth, 12th and 18th – are excellent scoring opportunities. The fourth 345-yard par four, the seventh 320-yard par four, and the 15th 359-yard par four are also great chances, but the second 509-yard par four and the 17th 220-yard par three are difficult
Last year story Grant Forrest claimed a first DP World Tour title, edging out James Morrison by one shot
Weather forecast Light to moderate wind everywhere, peaking Saturday. No rain expected. Temperatures around 18C
Type of player adapted to the challenge Torrance’s course can be torn apart by a big offensive hitter in short-game form – the four-par-fives and three-par-fours feature easy birdies – and little serious wind is expected
key attribute touch/put
Spotlight overview Five players finished 20 under par or better in last year’s Hero Open
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FIRST PUBLICATION AT 2:10 PM, JULY 26, 2022